this year we find out if apple is organizationally capable of commoditizing ai chat bots inside their UI, or if their lack of focus on ai  will leave enough space for openai and co to continue to grow as distinct personal computers. 

i suspect we’ll still be using claude and chatgpt for proper work like coding, and siri will be best for answering questions quickly and manipulating data inside apps, but not for achieving truly sophisticated cognitive tasks. siri will be like iphone automation + data retrieval without much setup, not a collaborative thinking partner for making software for example. 

apple can avoid this being their  innovator’s dilemma so long as their stranglehold on software distribution doesn’t falter. if the store changes and the ai companies find new ways to deliver software interactions to users outside of ios and the app store…

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That's an interesting analysis. Looking forward to seeing how Apple moves forward.