cyrus on Warpcast

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https://warpcast.com/~/channel/webtree

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cyrus pfp

While @july has never felt more optimistic about the future, I'm slowly veering in the opposite direction. A few people asked why, so I wrote this short essay. After years of working with century long time horizons, I'm noticing a shift in my optimism. I believe it partly stems from a paradox around unprecedented global connectivity alongside deepening fragmentation. It makes me wonder if our technological ingenuity can truly outpace our collective dysfunction when planetary challenges demand wisdom. https://cyrusclarke.substack.com/p/why-an-optimist-is-slowly-veering

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Callback to the original conversation: https://warpcast.com/july/0x6a8b00a3

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thanks for sharing this cyrus - going to read it now

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Been feeling like this diagram applies to more and more things as AI proliferates. I share the sentiment of being less and less optimistic, but as a parent of a toddler harder to let go of optimism. https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa967b086-d7a9-4004-a445-53bf66537bd4_1200x800.jpeg

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YES2Crypto 🎩 🟪🟡 pfp

YES2Crypto 🎩 🟪🟡

@yes2crypto.eth

I’ve found fasting makes me more optimistic.

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@proxystudio.eth

I’m a bit with you man

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Stuart pfp

I feel the same way but you've articulated it beautifully here. I tried for years to get people to understand by protesting and being so angry but it's just useless. I think it's more important to try and articulate a more utopian future and how we could get there, so I want to write scifi about that, but I've struggled to have time to really sort out my ideas in a way that would come across to people. I can envision a positive future for humanity but not through tech acceleration which just fuels fascism and fragmentation as you call it, but some kind of post apocalypse collaborative evolution of humanity once whatever we're doing now collapses. I'd love to see optimism through tech but due to human behavior, I don't see it.

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antaur pfp

read it. like it. do you know the work of Daniel Schmachtenberger? If not, strongly recommended.

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Daniel Lombraña

I have listened to your article and then I reread it to fully appreciate it. First of all, thanks for writing something profound. Secondly, I agree that we cannot be optimistic but should be cautious. I have been reading about stoicism for a while, and I think being optimistic adds adjectives to what we are experiencing. The same goes if you are pessimistic; you change the perception by adding weight in one way or the other. I think that after the pandemic, people became more selfish. We have always been, as a group, selfish. Only this week I have seen people walking their dogs and not picking up the poop, or, just today, a guy removing stickers from the street that are protesting to make Spanish public schools better. Why these people do not care about the others? If we cannot do this simple thing, it seems we cannot do it better when things are complex and have more consequences than expected. In summary, I think I am cautious, avoiding adding adjectives on the pessimistic side of the story.

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Ayan pfp

you are brilliant 🌷

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Catch0x22 (2025 variant)

hopefully the fragmentation is paternalism/harmony splitting. true decentralisation would mean multiple systems. there will always be humans that want something other cautious optimism is a safe bet imo. it's certainly better than doomerism or relentless optimism a younger me was the relentless optimist. the shock from that is worse than picking yourself up out of doomerism

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Was thinking how I work best under pressure and sometimes things need to get really bad before I come up with a solution. It's in those fly-or-die moments when my “superpower” comes out. That desperate cry for help is what trigger that profound, almost instinctive wisdom in me. Wisdom is what you are, or what you become. Oppose to knowledge which is what you learn. Hopefully, when shit hit the fan in the future, when we all need to come together, I hope we become better.

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