I’m not sure but I don’t think Polymarket’s angle of “the odds are the news” is correct for things like elections

Their social media is almost portraying odds going up as a real thing that’s happening, when it’s just a market movement (like reporting stock price vs earnings for ex) 

Admittedly polls aren’t “the truth” either but odds are obviously built on top of these datapoints, so they’re not really “the news”

BUT I think this angle is really great for more complex events, like war or political decisions, where the odds help the average person understand something