Recent electoral swings globally suggest less of a global left or right turn but rather anti-incumbency bias. In the UK Labor was blown out a few years ago only for the Conservatives to be blown out next election. In France the FN is coming to power amid a broader polarization and rejection of centrist parties. I would not be surprised to see trends reverse again in a few years.

The challenge incumbents everywhere are facing is how to generate a convincing narrative of growth and optimism once in power and no one seems to have found the key to this.

Writer, podcaster, and commentator on foreign affairs and politics. Runs /dropglobalnews

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