stormchasers

Cloudy and it has rained. The perfect day to sleep

I've been a little quiet this week. This is why 😆 

I'm not a RGB person but that thing has taken over the market so it was pretty much unavoidable. I have to admit it looks sleek though.

There's still some dispersion but European model is sniffing another snap for early next week. It could get quite chilly for our standards.

The coldest morning of the year, and very dry as well!

Now this is a VERY unusual forecast, regardless if it verifies or not. Wow!

Nothing at home AFAIK but I'm reading reports of snow/sleet in other locations so this forecast has verified!

Wind has shifted and is also picking up in intensity.

Winter's saying hi.

GFS forecasted sounding for tomorrow morning is... interesting. Totally snow-capable.

European shows rain/snow traces as well.

Not a model output you see everyday!

Both GFS and European model agree in a cold snap starting next week

Cool and with clear skies in today's holiday (Flag Day)

GM

Another major flare a few moments ago, this time a X1.9 magnitude. 

Again, solar disk data suggests no CME is present. Next! 😴

Oh, well it was worse than I imagined...

Can tropical cyclones stop breaking records for five minutes?

Hurricane Erick did all the terrible things, rapidly strengthening 80 mph in just 24 hours – a rate almost unheard of for June –  to a 145 mph Category 4. It struck Mexico's Pacific side as the earliest major landfall on record...by over 2 months. More ⬇️ https://t.co/cSPiYyRlAT https://t.co/i3sWQR4ULq

Michael Lowry

Oh, well it was worse than I imagined...

Can tropical cyclones stop breaking records for five minutes?

https://x.com/MichaelRLowry/status/1935703954777690201

Caught me off guard but it seems Erick decided to peak @ 145 mph (Cat 4) a few hours before landfall. Slamed into Mexico at Category 3 strength. Surely one of the earliest major landfalls ever recorded in EPAC.

Rapid intensification is bad folks...

Hurricane Erick is the first major hurricane of the season at 120 mph/953 mb.

Expected to make landfall in Mexico later tonight.

X1.3 solar flare a few moments ago. However the flare looks pretty impulsive and I see no eruption in solar disk data.

Boring.

Warpcast

AR 4114 looks interesting in terms of magnetic complexity. Decent flare potential. Worth monitoring.

Father's Day M8.4 solar flare. Source appears to be NOAA Active Region 4114.

Spotted an ejection in solar disk data, but it looks like the bulk of it headed north. We will have a better grasp about possible impacts on Earth (if any) when coronograph data comes in.

CME doesn't look very impressive and mostly headed north. Likely to have little or no effects on Earth.

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Calypso

@calypsocat.eth