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Vitalik Buterin
@vitalik.eth
My "very conservative, bet on boring-but-likely outcomes" polymarket politics portfolio seems to be doing well! Particularly proud of the TW election arbitrage I discovered ($155 becomes $160 no matter who wins)
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b0ggs.eth 🎩
@b0ggs
How does arbitrage affect the the ability of prediction markets to predict? Seems like an emergent state from polymarket's design that might not fit well with forecasting an outcome.
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