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b-rad.eth
@b-rad
What if you created longevity futures? Each decade is tradeable, and the data point is average life expectancy as reported by the CDC (seems like the best source, but open to others?) Would be cool to see how long the market *thinks* the average human will live in 2050, 2100 etc...
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b-rad.eth
@b-rad
Alternatively, we could just make a polymarket on if @bryanjohnson will still be alive at each of those years...
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Vitalik Buterin
@vitalik.eth
Long term prediction markets are really hard to get right, because if the price is wrong arbitrage strategies take so long to pay off. First step would be to make @polymarket denominated in an interest-bearing asset...
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Sid
@sidshekhar
@askgina.eth can you give an educated guess / estimate on the projected average life expectancy of humans in 2050 and 2100? Based on how we have progressed so far?
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