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shazow
@shazow.eth
We should pivot away from talking about climate change in terms of "2°C average temperature increase" and more in terms of variance increase. Behind that "average" hides a very substantial upper/lower bound shift, much more than 2°C.
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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
Indeed. In my research, some places would reach a cataclysmic +6°C by the year 2100 under middle-of-the-road SSPs, while others might see snow for the first time.
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shazow
@shazow.eth
Not just variance across regions (though this is very true!), I'm mainly thinking of extreme weather events that are becoming more common and more extreme, like the multi-day Texas freezing in 2021 which took down the power grid. It seems that every degree of "Average" rise actually represents a disproportional amplification effect on extreme events (in both directions).
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