Vitalik Buterin
@vitalik.eth
Sometimes you can believe the right thing for the wrong reason.
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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
Gettier problems! One of my favorite class of epistemological failures (along with the free pass given to moral luck, and the tolerance of “little follies”, i.e. seemingly innocuous superstitious beliefs) https://warpcast.com/aviationdoctor.eth/0x63ab01cb https://warpcast.com/aviationdoctor.eth/0x7f35e5b8
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Dinesh Raju
@dinesh.eth
Gettier problems pair nicely with Annie Duke's "resulting", which is when a decision gets judged as good or bad based on the results Resulting makes it much harder to know what's good advice in modern domains. When you have millions of entrepreneurs & investors making path-dependent bets, hard to tell whose success was the result of chance
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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
Indeed! I mentioned moral luck without being aware of “resulting”, but it sounds adjacent if not similar. Speed on your way home, and if nothing happens, society might view you as just being another bad driver. Maybe you’ll get a stern talking to or a ticket if you get caught. Speed on your way home and run over a kid, and you’ll be a despised criminal for the rest of your life. You’ll likely see the inside of a prison cell. In both scenarios, the initial decision to speed was the same. The outcome was only dictated by chance. Yet we treat the perpetrators differently
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Dinesh Raju
@dinesh.eth
yup many such cases if you look closely at the world around us 🤓
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