Will the accelerated future be like cyberpunk 2077, or like something else? What exponential change do most people not see?

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That if the IQ-analogue of an AGI grows exponentially, it won’t be “oh, this machine is good enough to do most of my work”, it’ll be “this machine is good enough to make all political decisions, scientific discoveries, and artistic creations on behalf of mankind, and we’re better off standing aside”.

At that point the next evolution of man will be technological, not biological, and it might just be specist to resist that instead of anticipating ways to embrace it.

An exponential IQ growth starts with 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64… until it reaches above-average but still common human intelligence at 128… and then all of a sudden it’s far smarter at 256 than any human who’s ever lived. After that all bets are off as we enter the asymptote.