Why don't people who casually say things like this on the other app realize that prediction markets exist? You can have words backed by genuine risk of meaningful personal consequences there, and it's much more peaceful.

Why don't people who casually say things like this on the other app realize that prediction markets exist? You can have words backed by genuine risk of meaningful personal consequences there, and it's much more peaceful.

https://x.com/thinkingwest/status/1830617990192124332

Both the author and their reply guys on X are just LARPing and succumbing to a (stereotypically American) idiomatic addiction to guns as a means of resorting every perceived slight, including personal vendettas and cosmic justice.

It's clearly unhealthy, but I don't think prediction markets cut it either. The most common divergences of opinion and interpersonal conflicts can't be settled by a binary outcome (grey areas) nor an independent body (like UMA's optimistic oracle); e.g., Polymarket can settle whether Trump will win, not whether he's a better president. Prediction markets also require money, and not everyone can afford to put skin in the game like that.

So as much as I dislike the feuding cesspool on X, it's actually a cheapo way of letting people vent their emotions in a (generally) peaceful way. I don't partake in it, I don't even read it, but perhaps it's a societally useful pressure release valve for all the angry people out there to settle scores verbally