politics

One problem—more than half the voters are women. I’d estimate that less than 20% of polymarket users are women. If it’s not accurate, that’s likely the reason. I’d be stunned if this is a landslide for either candidate. It’s likely coming down to one or two states that could go either way. (GA and NC in particular)

Polls — especially phone polls—likely skew older and closer in gender split. Prediction markets skew younger and male, and include a lot of players outside the US. And yes, polls can be manipulated just like markets. My guess is the polls are closer in accuracy and this election is a coin flip atm. 

I do love seeing @polymarket in the national discourse though!

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When Polymarket was favoring Kamala everyoen here was praising its accuraccy, now that is favoring Trump, for obvious reasons (only white cucks for Kamala likes Kamala) the left just tries to discredit polymarket, why would't you bet in favor of Kamala? Money speaks more!