a16zcrypto

@a16zcrypto

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Where do domain experts, superforecasters, pollsters, and journalists come in (and out)? Where do (and don’t) blockchain and crypto technologies come in — and what specific features (decentralization, transparency, real-time, open source, etc.) matter most, and in what contexts? Finally, we discuss applications for prediction and decision markets — things we could do right away to in the near-future to sci-fi — touching on trends like futarchy, AI entering the market, DeSci, and more. Our special expert guests are Alex Tabarrok , professor of economics at George Mason University and Chair in Economics at the Mercatus Center; and @skominers, research partner at a16z crypto, and professor at Harvard Business School — both in conversation with @smc90. https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/podcast/prediction-markets-information-aggregation-mechanisms/

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We’ve heard a lot about the premise and the promise of prediction markets for a long time, but they finally hit the main stage with the most recent election. So what worked (and didn’t) this time? Are they really better than pollsters, is polling dead? So in this conversation, we tease apart the hype from the reality of prediction markets, from the recent election to market foundations… going more deeply into the how, why, and where these markets work. We also discuss the design challenges and opportunities (including implications for builders throughout). And we also cover other information aggregation mechanisms — from peer prediction to others — given that prediction markets are part of a broader category of information-elicitation and information-aggregation mechanisms. @skominers @smc90 Full episode: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/podcast/prediction-markets-information-aggregation-mechanisms/

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It’s easy to forget about the impact that crypto is having outside the U.S. In countries with rampant inflation, people are using stablecoins to protect their assets. Argentina is a prime example.

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Check out the full report: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/state-of-crypto-report-2024/ This is an excerpt of a16z crypto’s State of Crypto. The full report should be read in its entirety for important disclosures and context. None of the above should be taken as investment advice or an advertisement for investment services; see http://a16z.com/disclosures for further information.

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DePIN is one of the most exciting areas in crypto right now. Great progress being made across decentralized wireless, mapping, energy, and more.

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There appears to be a large overlap between crypto and AI users 🤔

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We recently hosted some of the most talented builders in the UK to compete and collaborate on AI, crypto, healthcare+bio, and frontier tech projects. Thank you to everyone who joined and helped make the event happen. 🫡

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Check out the full report: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/state-of-crypto-report-2024/ This is an excerpt of a16z crypto’s State of Crypto. The full report should be read in its entirety for important disclosures and context. None of the above should be taken as investment advice or an advertisement for investment services; see http://a16z.com/disclosures for further information

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We estimate that there are 30-60 million monthly active crypto users. This is just 5-10% of people who own crypto. How did we arrive at this number? Learn here: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/estimating-crypto-users/

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Blockchains now process 50x as many transactions per second as they did just four years ago 🤫

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Consolidation is happening across the U.S. economy. 5 banks control nearly half of all assets. 6 tech companies make up more than half the Nasdaq 100’s value. Crypto can help decentralize power. Full report: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/state-of-crypto-report-2024/

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Learn more about CSX here: https://a16zcrypto.com/accelerator/

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Full house for CSX Demo Day in NYC. CSX connects founders with capital, a network of industry experts, and a cohort of leading web3 teams. We focus on the expertise, mentorship, and support startups need to build ambitious products across industries. Today, our NYC cohort will be presenting to a room full of investors and leaders in the industry. Here’s @jasonr kicking it off.

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thanks for sharing!

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Crypto has broken into the national discourse this election cycle. So we measured swing states’ relative levels of crypto interest. Two battlegrounds expected to be among the tightest races in November — Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — have seen the fourth- and fifth-biggest jumps in crypto search interest since the last election in 2020, measured as a proportion of total searches using Google Trends. Learn more in the full post: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/election-politics-crypto-2024/

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What can you do when experts can’t be trusted? Draw lots. This episode examines the ancient practice of “sortition,” which delegates decision-making power to random members of the public. Sometimes called “government by lottery,” sortition was used in ancient Athenian democracy to elect public officials. Now it’s undergoing a revival as tech companies (like Meta) and AI startups (like OpenAI and Anthropic) use the method to shape their policies. Our guests today are Bailey Flanigan, a postdoctoral fellow at Harvard who is joining MIT as an assistant professor next year, and who has helped develop selection algorithms for sortition that are in use today; and @andyhall, Stanford University poli sci professor, advisor to Meta, and consultant to a16z crypto research. w/ @hackr 🎙️ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hjG2qhAAz0Y

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Mobile wallet users is one of my favorite metrics to track in the crypto space. Great to see recent all-time highs as the industry becomes more global.

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The number of monthly mobile crypto wallet users hit an all-time high of 29 million in June 2024. While the U.S. makes up the greatest share of monthly mobile wallet users at 12%, its share of the total mobile wallet user base has declined in recent years as crypto adoption grows globally and as more projects seek regulatory compliance by excluding the U.S. through geofencing. This is an excerpt of our 2024 State of Crypto report. The full report should be read in its entirety for important disclosures and context. None of the above should be taken as investment advice or an advertisement for investment services; see http://a16z.com/disclosures for further information. The full report can be found here: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/state-of-crypto-report-2024/

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Here's a special episode featuring a16z cofounders @pmarca and @bhorowitz talking about AI bots and crypto. They discuss what happens when you mix postmodern theories and internet memes in an LLM. They also get into the sudden rise of a strange memecoin, the state of crypto regulation in the U.S., and more. Check out the full episode: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/podcast/ai-bots-memecoins/

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