When Trump won in 2016 I recall people being devastated and shocked, there was a physically palpable sense that something insane had happened. This time it couldn't feel more normal in general – most muted election of my lifetime.

skininthegame

Pretty fascinating by the polymarket whale

tldr: “neighbor method” is a better poll method. Asking somebody who their neighbor is going to vote for reveals preferences better than asking individuals who they will vote for

https://www.wsj.com/finance/how-the-trump-whale-correctly-called-the-election-cb7eef1d

The polymarket whale offers an interesting perspective!

King Of The KFC

@9r