NateSilver538

@4157329415732979

591 Following

11 Followers

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

RT @Birdyword: If the S&P 500 closes tomorrow where futures are right now, it will be the biggest three-day selloff in 38 years, a faster d…

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

Trying to use Deep Research for the first time, to pull some stock data, and it's getting frustrated and reading Stack Overflow lol https://t.co/YPF9umJXah

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

OMG they applied their stupid fucking formula incorrectly?!? https://t.co/R3q71lWhBf https://t.co/GLLXn2L3Jc

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

RT @Polymarket: NEW: Polymarket projects the US will likely enter a recession this year. https://t.co/oZKlRcqhzp

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

RT @jbarro: You idiots. The Trump team didn’t use a formula of (exports-imports)/exports. As Kush here points out, the formula was (exports…

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

RT @emckowndawson: Democrats are doing really well in special elections and the House majority is the slimmest it’s been in modern history.…

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

Before any further selloff today, a chart from a story we're publishing later this week. US auto manufacturers, including Tesla, hit harder by tariffs than foreign ones. https://t.co/1C4Qsc8XUE

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

RT @hamishmckenzie: We are partnering with @TheFIREorg to stand up for free speech in the face of recent government actions against critics…

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

The White House is considering pulling @EliseStefanik's nomination to be ambassador to the United Nations. Or asking her to withdraw, according to sources familiar. Confirming @JenniferJJacobs The Trump administration has grown concerned about the narrow margins in the House

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

My friend and former boss @NateSilver538 and I recorded our first podcast together in almost two years for the inaugural episode of the GD POLITICS podcast. It was a doozy! Here are some moments that stuck out: (Subscribe wherever you listen to podcasts! 🤓) https://t.co/dL8MENjWTw

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

We've got updated Sweet 16 odds for you! But honestly, they look a lot like they did at the start of the tournament, with top seeds mostly surviving but their pathways not getting any easier. https://t.co/NNnz37HaCU https://t.co/LSEpPrhE5M

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

Trump's approval ratings have declined but in a way quite typical early in a president's new term. Is it safe to assume he has a high floor, though? https://t.co/koAImHwho5

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

Today's numbers. Fun day of basketball but not much change in the toplines with top seeds looking good. https://t.co/NNnz37HaCU https://t.co/8xA1tprbX6

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

Lol, we know from many years of user data that a LOT of you are procrastinators about filling out your brackets. Peak traffic time is ~15 minutes before opening tipoff. Second-highest time basically right now.

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

OK, testing NCAA tourney model update process after the first two First Four games. UNC looks like a tough out in the next round. https://t.co/NNnz37HaCU https://t.co/xa9Cb8MVqS

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

Possibly of interest when filling out your bracket: there's a statistically significant trend toward more early-round upsets since 2010. https://t.co/DTBeUN8aKY

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

South Carolina 30% UConn 20% Texas 14% UCLA 12% USC 8%

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

The antepenultimate — I had to look that up; it means next-to-next-to-last — pre-tourney version of our college basketball ratings. Tourney forecast will publish tomorrow, likely late. The tourney model will account for injuries; these ratings do not. https://t.co/FKFMzfHqkS https://t.co/yRaTJejBFJ

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

I'd probably oppose the Continuing Resolution if, for some extremely misguided reason, you appointed me to be a D senator. Both sides would get blamed for a shutdown, but it would put Trump in the awkward position of having to defend government services he's trying to dismantle.

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

NateSilver538 pfp

@4157329415732979

This is getting to be a reasonably fast decline. We launched last week, and Trump's approval was +0.5, now it's -1.7. https://t.co/HFF0yrZQw8

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction