NateSilver538

@4157329415732979

804 Following

11 Followers

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@4157329415732979

2015 Hawks is quite the dagger. https://t.co/MAAHmUHAps

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@4157329415732979

I'm sorry, the role that DOCTOR Jill Biden is playing in Joe Biden's refusal/failure to ride off into the sunset needs to be a serious topic of conversation. https://t.co/u0HwEZyEbW

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@4157329415732979

Knicks beating the Celtics would count as like 0.4 titles.

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@4157329415732979

RT @nickgillespie: Silver Bulletin, @NateSilver538's Substack, is worth reading and even paying for. Here's his latest update of how Trump…

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@4157329415732979

Seems indicative of the age we're living through that this person brags about never having used ChatGPT and yet has incredibly strong opinions about it. https://t.co/MkEcCmJcPC https://t.co/W2Z1ceedL6

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Not a great look hawking a book based on a false premise while accepting an award based on the same false premise. ?? Yes, Biden was old, but that’s a lot different than an allegation of mental decline that kept him from being able to do the job, which there is no evidence of.

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@4157329415732979

RT @pushkinpods: The next pope will be chosen through a ritualized process involving secret ballots, smoke signals, and a lock-in at the Si…

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Idk. If you care about someone and you know them personally, airing your grievances in the pages of the paper just doesn’t sit right with me, but to each their own I guess.

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@4157329415732979

Knicks went on an 11-1 run to close the game after they started chanting flopper with Brunson accounting for 8 of those.

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@4157329415732979

Some complicated mechanics in this month's negative GDP print but bottom line is that recession risk is up to 70%. https://t.co/5UihnR1nV4 https://t.co/44H5yqdBTQ

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@4157329415732979

Booking hotels for WSOP trip and Vegas hotel prices seem recessionary. I know this data point well and it's an interesting one as it's super discretionary. Things maybe 40-50% cheaper for equivalent rooms vs. last year.

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@4157329415732979

I've been tracking this data. In March 2024, 3.4m people entered the US by car from Canada. In March 2025, just 2.5m, a 25-30% reduction. We're seeing an impact of declining US-Canada relations in hard data, in other words, not just polls, etc. https://t.co/HVTHLrUpsV https://t.co/pDjog27WBO

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@amyklobuchar If you don't have the details how can you say it's a grave step?

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Two other commonalities are that 1) they're good for the country, and 2) bad for your weird contrarian niche Twitter account. https://t.co/MEgDX5qgHB

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It's nihilistic stupidity X a deeply broken system more than any kind of plan.

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@4157329415732979

Barring breaking news like invading Greenland or something, @galendruke and I will host a SUBSTACK LIVE tomorrow (4/16) at 1 PM ET to hold a Way-Too-Early 2028 Democratic Primary Draft.

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@4157329415732979

Hard to stay ahead of the news, but today's newsletter is about the 4 factions of Trump's 2nd term and how they're producing chaos on tariffs: 1. The Chief Executive 2. MAGA 2.0 3. The Tech Right 4. The hollowed shell of the Republican establishment

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@4157329415732979

One other thing we're working on. Since the election, the best-performing market is Russia. Hungary #2. Worst performers are Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Taiwan and Denmark. China and the US both a bit below average. Rest of Americas holding up OK. https://t.co/aWr0YtEihw

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Breaking news: The Trump administration announced that smartphones, computers and other electronic components are exempt from reciprocal tariffs, days after the United States imposed the highest levies on foreign goods in a century. https://t.co/mH5XZ3GO4W

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In our tracking, Trump's approval is at -5, but if we only used polls since Liberation Day, he'd be at -8.5 instead. So that's a pretty significant hit over the span of barely more than a week; he was at -2.5 on 4/1, just before Liberation Day. https://t.co/msBapXv8sy https://t.co/Mc3ujFFggF

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